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1st Round · Series Storyboard

Philadelphia vs Pittsburgh

PHI

Philadelphia

Final

42

PHI advances

PIT

Pittsburgh

Series-win probability

How Philadelphia's odds of taking the series moved with each game. Pre-series uses regulation-win rate via log5; each game updates the conditional win probability with the negative-binomial form.

Pre-series
43% / 57%
After Game 1
60% / 40%
After Game 2
77% / 23%
After Game 3
92% / 8%
After Game 4
85% / 15%
After Game 5
72% / 28%
After Game 6
100% / 0%
HOW THIS SERIES ENDS · 10,000 REPLAYS
PHI 6
100.0%
PHI 4
0.0%
PHI 5
0.0%
PHI 7
0.0%
PIT 4
0.0%
PIT 5
0.0%

The six likeliest ways it finishes, replayed from the current series score.

THE SERIES UNDER THE HOOD

COMPLETED GAMES ONLY
155Shots on goal159
2Power play3
52.3%Faceoffs won47.7%
248Hits199
94Blocked shots75
93Giveaways94
28Takeaways25
98Penalty minutes104

Game by game

Game 1Apr 18
PHI3
vs
PIT2

Philadelphia draws first blood. GWG: P. Martone.

Series after: PHI 10 PIT
Game 2Apr 20
PHI3
vs
PIT0

Philadelphia takes the series lead 2–0. GWG: P. Martone.

Series after: PHI 20 PIT
Game 3Apr 22
PHI5
vs
PIT2

Philadelphia pushes to match point at 3–0. GWG: N. Seeler.

Series after: PHI 30 PITWatch recap
Game 4Apr 25
PHI2
vs
PIT4

Philadelphia pushes to match point at 3–1. GWG: K. Letang.

Series after: PHI 31 PITWatch recap
Game 5Apr 27
PHI2
vs
PIT3

Philadelphia pushes to match point at 3–2. GWG: K. Letang.

Series after: PHI 32 PITWatch recap
Game 6Apr 29
PHI1
vs
PIT0

Philadelphia clinches the series 4–2. GWG: C. York. (OT)

Series after: PHI 42 PITWatch recap