← Back to Standings
Stanley Cup Final · Series Storyboard
Carolina vs Las Vegas
CAR
Carolina
Final
4–2
CAR advances
VGK
Las Vegas
Series-win probability
How Carolina's odds of taking the series moved with each game. Pre-series uses regulation-win rate via log5; each game updates the conditional win probability with the negative-binomial form.
Pre-series
66% / 34%
After Game 1
49% / 51%
After Game 2
64% / 36%
After Game 3
43% / 57%
After Game 4
61% / 39%
After Game 5
82% / 18%
After Game 6
100% / 0%
HOW THIS SERIES ENDS · 10,000 REPLAYS
CAR 6
100.0%
CAR 4
0.0%
CAR 5
0.0%
CAR 7
0.0%
VGK 4
0.0%
VGK 5
0.0%
The six likeliest ways it finishes, replayed from the current series score.
THE SERIES UNDER THE HOOD
COMPLETED GAMES ONLY163Shots on goal152
6Power play2
55.5%Faceoffs won44.5%
214Hits235
78Blocked shots108
111Giveaways112
37Takeaways25
38Penalty minutes40
Game by game
Game 1Jun 2· Lenovo Center
CAR4
vsVGK5
Las Vegas draws first blood. GWG: T. Hertl.
Series after: CAR 0–1 VGKWatch recap ↗
Game 2Jun 4· Lenovo Center
CAR4
vsVGK3
Series tied 1–1. GWG: S. Jarvis. (OT)
Series after: CAR 1–1 VGKWatch recap ↗
Game 3Jun 6· T-Mobile Arena
CAR4
vsVGK5
Las Vegas takes the series lead 2–1. GWG: S. Theodore. (OT)
Series after: CAR 1–2 VGKWatch recap ↗
Game 4Jun 9· T-Mobile Arena
CAR5
vsVGK3
Series tied 2–2. GWG: J. Staal.
Series after: CAR 2–2 VGKWatch recap ↗
Game 5Jun 11· Lenovo Center
CAR4
vsVGK2
Carolina pushes to match point at 3–2. GWG: S. Aho.
Series after: CAR 3–2 VGKWatch recap ↗
Game 6Jun 14· T-Mobile Arena
CAR3
vsVGK0
Carolina clinches the series 4–2. GWG: T. Hall.
Series after: CAR 4–2 VGKWatch recap ↗