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1st Round · Series Storyboard
Carolina vs Ottawa
CAR
Carolina
Final
4–0
CAR advances
OTT
Ottawa
Series-win probability
How Carolina's odds of taking the series moved with each game. Pre-series uses regulation-win rate via log5; each game updates the conditional win probability with the negative-binomial form.
Pre-series
60% / 41%
After Game 1
73% / 27%
After Game 2
86% / 14%
After Game 3
96% / 4%
After Game 4
100% / 0%
HOW THIS SERIES ENDS · 10,000 REPLAYS
CAR 4
100.0%
CAR 5
0.0%
CAR 6
0.0%
CAR 7
0.0%
OTT 4
0.0%
OTT 5
0.0%
The six likeliest ways it finishes, replayed from the current series score.
THE SERIES UNDER THE HOOD
COMPLETED GAMES ONLY135Shots on goal110
2Power play1
42.0%Faceoffs won58.0%
163Hits173
68Blocked shots78
78Giveaways79
21Takeaways21
55Penalty minutes47
Game by game
Game 1Apr 18· Lenovo Center
CAR2
vsOTT0
Carolina draws first blood. GWG: L. Stankoven.
Series after: CAR 1–0 OTTWatch recap ↗
Game 2Apr 20· Lenovo Center
CAR3
vsOTT2
Carolina takes the series lead 2–0. GWG: J. Martinook. (OT)
Series after: CAR 2–0 OTTWatch recap ↗
Game 3Apr 23· Canadian Tire Centre
CAR2
vsOTT1
Carolina pushes to match point at 3–0. GWG: J. Blake.
Series after: CAR 3–0 OTTWatch recap ↗
Game 4Apr 25· Canadian Tire Centre
CAR4
vsOTT2
Carolina completes the sweep 4–0. GWG: S. Aho.
Series after: CAR 4–0 OTTWatch recap ↗