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Conference Finals · Series Storyboard

Carolina vs Montréal

CAR

Carolina

Final

41

CAR advances

MTL

Montréal

Series-win probability

How Carolina's odds of taking the series moved with each game. Pre-series uses regulation-win rate via log5; each game updates the conditional win probability with the negative-binomial form.

Pre-series
62% / 38%
After Game 1
45% / 55%
After Game 2
60% / 40%
After Game 3
76% / 24%
After Game 4
91% / 9%
After Game 5
100% / 0%
HOW THIS SERIES ENDS · 10,000 REPLAYS
CAR 5
100.0%
CAR 4
0.0%
CAR 6
0.0%
CAR 7
0.0%
MTL 4
0.0%
MTL 5
0.0%

The six likeliest ways it finishes, replayed from the current series score.

THE SERIES UNDER THE HOOD

COMPLETED GAMES ONLY
167Shots on goal89
2Power play2
48.7%Faceoffs won51.3%
175Hits106
80Blocked shots107
87Giveaways77
39Takeaways16
52Penalty minutes64

Game by game

Game 1May 21
CAR2
vs
MTL6

Montréal draws first blood. GWG: A. Texier.

Series after: CAR 01 MTLWatch recap
Game 2May 23
CAR3
vs
MTL2

Series tied 1–1. GWG: N. Ehlers. (OT)

Series after: CAR 11 MTLWatch recap
Game 3May 25
CAR3
vs
MTL2

Carolina takes the series lead 2–1. GWG: A. Svechnikov. (OT)

Series after: CAR 21 MTLWatch recap
Game 4May 27
CAR4
vs
MTL0

Carolina pushes to match point at 3–1. GWG: S. Aho.

Series after: CAR 31 MTLWatch recap
Game 5May 29
CAR6
vs
MTL1

Carolina clinches the series 4–1. GWG: L. Stankoven.

Series after: CAR 41 MTLWatch recap