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2nd Round · Series Storyboard

Buffalo vs Montréal

BUF

Buffalo

Final

3–4

MTL advances

MTL

Montréal

Series-win probability

How Buffalo's odds of taking the series moved with each game. Pre-series uses regulation-win rate via log5; each game updates the conditional win probability with the negative-binomial form.

Pre-series
59% / 42%
After Game 1
73% / 27%
After Game 2
57% / 43%
After Game 3
37% / 63%
After Game 4
56% / 44%
After Game 5
29% / 71%
After Game 6
54% / 46%
After Game 7
0% / 100%
HOW THIS SERIES ENDS · 10,000 REPLAYS
MTL 7
100.0%
BUF 4
0.0%
BUF 5
0.0%
BUF 6
0.0%
BUF 7
0.0%
MTL 4
0.0%

The six likeliest ways it finishes, replayed from the current series score.

THE SERIES UNDER THE HOOD

COMPLETED GAMES ONLY
206Shots on goal196
9Power play8
47.0%Faceoffs won53.0%
177Hits178
106Blocked shots106
100Giveaways96
31Takeaways33
124Penalty minutes152

Game by game

Game 1May 6
BUF4
vs
MTL2

Buffalo draws first blood. GWG: J. Greenway.

Series after: BUF 1–0 MTLWatch recap ↗
Game 2May 8
BUF1
vs
MTL5

Series tied 1–1. GWG: M. Matheson.

Series after: BUF 1–1 MTLWatch recap ↗
Game 3May 10
BUF2
vs
MTL6

Montréal takes the series lead 2–1. GWG: Z. Bolduc.

Series after: BUF 1–2 MTLWatch recap ↗
Game 4May 12
BUF3
vs
MTL2

Series tied 2–2. GWG: Z. Benson.

Series after: BUF 2–2 MTLWatch recap ↗
Game 5May 14
BUF3
vs
MTL6

Montréal pushes to match point at 3–2. GWG: J. Evans.

Series after: BUF 2–3 MTLWatch recap ↗
Game 6May 16
BUF8
vs
MTL3

Series tied 3–3. GWG: J. Quinn.

Series after: BUF 3–3 MTLWatch recap ↗
Game 7May 18
BUF2
vs
MTL3

Montréal clinches the series 4–3. GWG: A. Newhook. (OT)

Series after: BUF 3–4 MTLWatch recap ↗

Team page

Buffalo

Team page

Montréal