← Back to Standings
1st Round · Series Storyboard
Boston vs Buffalo
BOS
Boston
Final
2–4
BUF advances
BUF
Buffalo
Series-win probability
How Boston's odds of taking the series moved with each game. Pre-series uses regulation-win rate via log5; each game updates the conditional win probability with the negative-binomial form.
Pre-series
40% / 60%
After Game 1
26% / 74%
After Game 2
41% / 59%
After Game 3
25% / 75%
After Game 4
9% / 91%
After Game 5
21% / 80%
After Game 6
0% / 100%
HOW THIS SERIES ENDS · 10,000 REPLAYS
BUF 6
100.0%
BOS 4
0.0%
BOS 5
0.0%
BOS 6
0.0%
BOS 7
0.0%
BUF 4
0.0%
The six likeliest ways it finishes, replayed from the current series score.
THE SERIES UNDER THE HOOD
COMPLETED GAMES ONLY151Shots on goal190
2Power play1
56.1%Faceoffs won43.9%
233Hits198
100Blocked shots82
105Giveaways92
28Takeaways22
123Penalty minutes93
Game by game
Game 1Apr 19· KeyBank Center
BOS3
vsBUF4
Buffalo draws first blood. GWG: A. Tuch.
Series after: BOS 0–1 BUFWatch recap ↗
Game 2Apr 21· KeyBank Center
BOS4
vsBUF2
Series tied 1–1. GWG: P. Zacha.
Series after: BOS 1–1 BUFWatch recap ↗
Game 3Apr 23· TD Garden
BOS1
vsBUF3
Buffalo takes the series lead 2–1. GWG: A. Tuch.
Series after: BOS 1–2 BUFWatch recap ↗
Game 4Apr 26· TD Garden
BOS1
vsBUF6
Buffalo pushes to match point at 3–1. GWG: J. Doan.
Series after: BOS 1–3 BUFWatch recap ↗
Game 5Apr 28· KeyBank Center
BOS2
vsBUF1
Buffalo pushes to match point at 3–2. GWG: D. Pastrnak. (OT)
Series after: BOS 2–3 BUFWatch recap ↗
Game 6May 1· TD Garden
BOS1
vsBUF4
Buffalo clinches the series 4–2. GWG: M. Samuelsson.
Series after: BOS 2–4 BUFWatch recap ↗