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Buffalo
3-3-1 · WILDCARD 3
at
Thu, Oct 15, 11:00 p.m.
Toronto
3-3-1 · WILDCARD 2
Projected win probability
TOR 70.1% · BUF 29.9%
Venue
Scotiabank Arena
Broadcast
TSN4 · MSG-B
Projected win probability
TOR 70.1%TOR ↑↓ BUF
Puck drop
Our pre-game read for Toronto, from each side's regulation-win rate via log5 plus a home-ice adjustment. The line goes live at puck drop and steps at every goal.
How this is calculated →Nothing has happened yet
Goals will appear here as they are scored, each one tagged with how much it moved the win probability.
The game in numbers
Team stats are published once the game is under way.
Why this game matters
Buffalo visit Toronto. Our model gives Toronto the edge at 70.1%.